Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.198064 0.230330 0.266251 0.309221 0.359250 0.415695 0.484263
2025-03-02 0.141592 0.182568 0.233127 0.300170 0.386879 0.495440 0.642026
2025-03-09 0.117825 0.163124 0.223123 0.308565 0.427426 0.587415 0.819983
2025-03-16 0.099527 0.145977 0.211147 0.309499 0.454702 0.662051 0.982248
2025-03-23 0.087352 0.134671 0.204449 0.315188 0.487334 0.746120 1.167358
2025-03-30 0.075124 0.121057 0.191851 0.309343 0.500575 0.801529 1.315003
2025-04-06 0.065962 0.110665 0.182394 0.306404 0.516902 0.862364 1.477764
2025-04-13 0.059094 0.102911 0.175889 0.306930 0.538207 0.932854 1.664683
2025-04-20 0.055555 0.100212 0.177252 0.320632 0.583196 1.048071 1.943609
2025-04-27 0.052036 0.097019 0.177233 0.331638 0.624395 1.161089 2.232869
2025-05-04 0.048691 0.093667 0.176418 0.340882 0.663168 1.273847 2.535838
2025-05-11 0.044868 0.088904 0.172364 0.343335 0.689014 1.364893 2.807802
2025-05-18 0.040737 0.083135 0.165900 0.340652 0.705192 1.440660 3.062769
2025-05-25 0.036282 0.076180 0.156317 0.330537 0.705120 1.484143 3.257420
2025-06-01 0.034287 0.074031 0.156124 0.339797 0.746622 1.618375 3.665457
2025-06-08 0.031739 0.070377 0.152344 0.340827 0.770328 1.717335 4.008335
2025-06-15 0.029901 0.068034 0.151051 0.347101 0.806344 1.847461 4.440246
2025-06-22 0.027252 0.063544 0.144521 0.340656 0.812322 1.910274 4.721253
2025-06-29 0.025115 0.059975 0.139640 0.337414 0.825357 1.990900 5.056606
2025-07-06 0.023447 0.057311 0.136529 0.337994 0.847653 2.096229 5.468422
2025-07-13 0.022833 0.057120 0.139222 0.353106 0.907894 2.301803 6.167563
2025-07-20 0.022062 0.056446 0.140663 0.365244 0.962111 2.499015 6.872600
2025-07-27 0.021223 0.055500 0.141320 0.375441 1.012565 2.692856 7.596202